Analysis: Illegal aliens ‘commit murder at a rate 50% higher than the rest of the U.S. population’

John R. Lott, Jr. - X
John R. Lott, Jr. - X
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As U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reports 52,062 illegal alien encounters in Nevada’s Yuma Sector during fiscal year 2024, a new report shows illegal aliens may commit murder at rates 50% higher than the U.S. population. 

An article by John R. Lott, Jr. posted on RealClearPolitics highlights data on criminal activity among illegal aliens released into the U.S. According to ICE data, more than 435,000 convicted criminals and nearly 227,000 individuals with pending charges were allowed entry as of July 2024. These include thousands of individuals convicted of serious crimes such as homicide, sex offenses, and assault. 

“About 7.4 million noncitizens are in the “national docket data,” so 662,776 is 9% of the total, and if one extrapolates the numbers to the homicide rate in this country, it strongly indicates that the government is letting migrants into this country who commit murder at a rate 50% higher than the rest of the U.S. population,” Lott wrote.

“And these numbers clearly underestimate the crime rate of these noncitizens. The noncitizens in the “national docket data” turned themselves in to border agents for processing or were caught,” he continued. “Those who don’t turn themselves in are obviously far more likely to have something to hide from those doing the processing, so-called “gotaways,” who are observed illegally entering the U.S. but not caught or turned back.”

Lott suggests that the root of this problem lies in a broken and overwhelmed immigration system, where the lack of proper background checks has led to the release of individuals with dangerous criminal histories. ICE agents, facing overwhelming caseloads and limited resources, have admitted to struggling to process the sheer number of migrants. The contrast with the Trump administration’s “Remain-in-Mexico” policy, which enforced stricter vetting procedures, has led to accusations that the Biden administration’s lax policies have resulted in more violent criminals being released into the public.

Furthermore, the administration’s transparency has come into question. According to Fox News, despite requests for accountability from lawmakers like Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX), the administration delayed responses for months regarding how many of these criminals entered the U.S. during Biden’s tenure. Critics accuse the administration of attempting to downplay the severity of the border crisis, particularly following reports that some officials were instructed not to publicize arrests of migrants with ties to terrorism.



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